Florida 22026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Florida 2nd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Florida 2nd District House forecast currently gives Republican Austin Rogers a 98.9% chance of defeating Democrat Amanda Green. Pollsmax projects Rogers to receive 60.4% of the vote compared with 39.7% for Green, a projected Republican margin of 20.7 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Florida 2nd District House election features Democrat Amanda Green and Republican Austin Rogers. The seat is open in 2026, but the race to fill it is not expected to be competitive. In 2024, Donald Trump won Florida's 2nd congressional district by 19.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Florida conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.