Florida 232026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Florida 23rd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Florida 23rd District House forecast currently gives Democrat Lois Frankel a 99.6% chance of defeating Republican Deborah Adeimy. Pollsmax projects Frankel to receive 64.3% of the vote compared with 35.8% for Adeimy, a projected Democratic margin of 28.5 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Florida 23rd District House election features Democrat Lois Frankel and Republican Deborah Adeimy. Incumbent Representative Lois Frankel is seeking reelection to a eighth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Florida's 23rd congressional district by 9.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. Florida conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.