Florida 232026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 Florida 23rd District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Florida's 23rd congressional district House election between Democrat Lois Frankel and Republican TBD. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Florida 23rd District House election features Democrat Lois Frankel and Republican TBD. Incumbent Representative Lois Frankel is seeking reelection to a eighth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Florida's 23rd congressional district by 9.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. Florida conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- FL-23
- Democratic candidate
- Lois Frankel
- Republican candidate
- TBD
- Incumbent / open seat
- Lois Frankel
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 64.2% D / 35.8% R
- Projected margin
- D +28.4
- Forecast odds
- 99.7% D / 0.3% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —