Florida 242026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Florida 24th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Florida 24th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Oliver Gilbert a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Mayonna Te Brown. Pollsmax projects Gilbert to receive 80% of the vote compared with 20% for Brown, a projected Democratic margin of 60 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Florida 24th District House election features Democrat Oliver Gilbert and Republican Mayonna Te Brown. Incumbent Representative Frederica Wilson is seeking reelection. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Florida's 24th congressional district by 32.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. Florida conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.