Oliver Gilbert, 2026 Florida 24th District House Democratic candidate
Oliver Gilbert
DEMOCRATIC
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Florida state flag

Florida 242026 HOUSE POLLS

Mayonna Te Brown, 2026 House candidate
Mayonna Te Brown
REPUBLICAN

2026 Florida 24th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Florida 24th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Oliver Gilbert a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Mayonna Te Brown. Pollsmax projects Gilbert to receive 72% of the vote compared with 28% for Brown, a projected Democratic margin of 44 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Florida 24th District House election features Democrat Oliver Gilbert and Republican Mayonna Te Brown. The seat is open in 2026, but the race to fill it is not expected to be competitive. This race is rated as solid Democratic. Florida conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.

Year
2026
Race
House
District
FL-24
Democratic candidate
Oliver Gilbert
Republican candidate
Mayonna Te Brown
Incumbent / open seat
Open seat
Forecast rating
Solid D
Projected vote
72.0% D / 28.0% R
Projected margin
D +44.0
Forecast odds
99.9% D / 0.1% R
Forecast last updated
12:00 AM on November 3, 2026
Polling average
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Polling average margin
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Polling last updated
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Polls included
0
Latest poll
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