Florida 242026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 Florida 24th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Florida's 24th congressional district House election between Democrat TBD and Republican Mayonna Te Brown. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Florida 24th District House election features Democrat TBD and Republican Mayonna Te Brown. Incumbent Representative Frederica Wilson is seeking reelection. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Florida's 24th congressional district by 32.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. Florida conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- FL-24
- Democratic candidate
- TBD
- Republican candidate
- Mayonna Te Brown
- Incumbent / open seat
- Open seat
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 70.0% D / 30.0% R
- Projected margin
- D +40.0
- Forecast odds
- 99.9% D / 0.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —