

Florida 252026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Florida 25th District House Forecast:
The Pollsmax 2026 Florida 25th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Jared Moskowitz a 64.1% chance of defeating Republican Scott Singer. Pollsmax projects Moskowitz to receive 51.2% of the vote compared with 48.8% for Singer, a projected Democratic margin of 2.4 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Tilt Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.
The 2026 Florida 25th District House election features Democrat Jared Moskowitz and Republican Scott Singer. Incumbent Representative Jared Moskowitz is seeking reelection to a third term. This race is rated as tilt Democratic. The race will test whether Democrats can flip a competitive Florida seat or whether Republicans can hold one of their key House battlegrounds. Florida's 25th District will be critical in determining control of the House for the second half of President Trump's term. Florida conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- FL-25
- Democratic candidate
- Jared Moskowitz
- Republican candidate
- Scott Singer
- Incumbent / open seat
- Jared Moskowitz
- Forecast rating
- Tilt D
- Projected vote
- 51.2% D / 48.8% R
- Projected margin
- D +2.4
- Forecast odds
- 64.1% D / 35.9% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on November 3, 2026
- Polling average
- 46.2% D / 41.2% R
- Polling average margin
- D +5.1
- Polling last updated
- 12:00 AM on October 27, 2026
- Polls included
- 5
- Latest poll
- Public Policy Polling (D) — October 27, 2026