Florida 252026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Florida 25th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Florida 25th District House forecast currently gives Republican Scott Singer a 66.4% chance of defeating Democrat Jared Moskowitz. Pollsmax projects Singer to receive 50.7% of the vote compared with 49.4% for Moskowitz, a projected Republican margin of 1.3 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Lean Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Florida 25th District House election features Democrat Jared Moskowitz and Republican Scott Singer. Incumbent Representative Jared Moskowitz is seeking reelection to a third term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Florida's 25th congressional district by 5.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as lean Republican in 2026. The race will test whether Democrats can flip a competitive Florida seat or whether Republicans can hold one of their key House battlegrounds. Florida's 25th District will be important in determining control of the House for the second half of President Trump's term. Florida conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.