Florida 32026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 Florida 3rd District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Florida's 3rd congressional district House election between Democrat TBD and Republican Kat Cammack. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Florida 3rd District House election features Democrat TBD and Republican Kat Cammack. Incumbent Representative Kat Cammack is seeking reelection to a fourth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Florida's 3rd congressional district by 10.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Florida conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- FL-3
- Democratic candidate
- TBD
- Republican candidate
- Kat Cammack
- Incumbent / open seat
- Kat Cammack
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 40.5% D / 59.5% R
- Projected margin
- R +19.0
- Forecast odds
- 2.9% D / 97.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —