Florida 72026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Florida 7th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Florida 7th District House forecast currently gives Republican Ryan Elijah a 82.1% chance of defeating Democrat Bale Dalton. Pollsmax projects Elijah to receive 53.2% of the vote compared with 46.8% for Dalton, a projected Republican margin of 6.4 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Likely Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Florida 7th District House election features Democrat Bale Dalton and Republican Ryan Elijah. The seat is open in 2026, but the race to fill it is not expected to be competitive. This race is rated as likely Republican. Florida conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.