Florida8th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 Florida 8th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Florida's 8th congressional district House election between Democrat Jennifer Jenkins and Republican Mike Haridopolos. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Florida 8th District House election features Democrat Jennifer Jenkins and Republican Mike Haridopolos. Incumbent Representative Mike Haridopolos is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Florida's 8th congressional district by 12.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Florida conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- FL-8
- Democratic candidate
- Jennifer Jenkins
- Republican candidate
- Mike Haridopolos
- Incumbent / open seat
- Mike Haridopolos
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 40.3% D / 59.8% R
- Projected margin
- R +19.5
- Forecast odds
- 2.3% D / 97.7% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —