Florida 82026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Florida 8th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Florida 8th District House forecast currently gives Republican Mike Haridopolos a 96.7% chance of defeating Democrat Jennifer Jenkins. Pollsmax projects Haridopolos to receive 59% of the vote compared with 41% for Jenkins, a projected Republican margin of 18 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Florida 8th District House election features Democrat Jennifer Jenkins and Republican Mike Haridopolos. Incumbent Representative Mike Haridopolos is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Florida's 8th congressional district by 12.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Florida conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.