

Georgia 112026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Georgia 11th District House Forecast:
The Pollsmax 2026 Georgia 11th District House forecast currently gives Republican John Cowan a 98.5% chance of defeating Democrat Chris Harden. Pollsmax projects Cowan to receive 59.9% of the vote compared with 40.1% for Harden, a projected Republican margin of 19.8 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.
The 2026 Georgia 11th District House election features Democrat Chris Harden and Republican John Cowan. The seat is open in 2026, but the race to fill it is not expected to be competitive. In 2024, Donald Trump won Georgia's 11th congressional district by 18.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- GA-11
- Democratic candidate
- Chris Harden
- Republican candidate
- John Cowan
- Incumbent / open seat
- Open seat
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 40.1% D / 59.9% R
- Projected margin
- R +19.8
- Forecast odds
- 1.5% D / 98.5% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on September 30, 2026
- Polling average
- 42.0% D / 40.0% R
- Polling average margin
- D +2.0
- Polling last updated
- 12:00 AM on September 11, 2026
- Polls included
- 1
- Latest poll
- Miller Consulting — September 11, 2026