Chris Harden, 2026 Georgia 11th District House Democratic candidate
Chris Harden
DEMOCRATIC
Attorney
Georgia state flag

Georgia 112026 HOUSE POLLS

John Cowan, 2026 Georgia 11th District House Republican candidate
John Cowan
REPUBLICAN
Neurosurgeon

2026 Georgia 11th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Georgia 11th District House forecast currently gives Republican John Cowan a 98.5% chance of defeating Democrat Chris Harden. Pollsmax projects Cowan to receive 59.9% of the vote compared with 40.1% for Harden, a projected Republican margin of 19.8 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Georgia 11th District House election features Democrat Chris Harden and Republican John Cowan. The seat is open in 2026, but the race to fill it is not expected to be competitive. In 2024, Donald Trump won Georgia's 11th congressional district by 18.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.

Year
2026
Race
House
District
GA-11
Democratic candidate
Chris Harden
Republican candidate
John Cowan
Incumbent / open seat
Open seat
Forecast rating
Solid R
Projected vote
40.1% D / 59.9% R
Projected margin
R +19.8
Forecast odds
1.5% D / 98.5% R
Forecast last updated
12:00 AM on September 30, 2026
Polling average
42.0% D / 40.0% R
Polling average margin
D +2.0
Polling last updated
12:00 AM on September 11, 2026
Polls included
1
Latest poll
Miller Consulting — September 11, 2026