Elinor Gilbreath
DEMOCRATIC
Lawyer
Idaho2nd District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Mike Simpson*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-ID)
1999 – Present
2026 Idaho 2nd District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Idaho's 2nd congressional district House election between Democrat Elinor Gilbreath and Republican Mike Simpson. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Idaho 2nd District House election features Democrat Elinor Gilbreath and Republican Mike Simpson. Incumbent Representative Mike Simpson is seeking reelection to a fifteenth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Idaho's 2nd congressional district by 18.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- ID-2
- Democratic candidate
- Elinor Gilbreath
- Republican candidate
- Mike Simpson
- Incumbent / open seat
- Mike Simpson
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 33.5% D / 66.6% R
- Projected margin
- R +33.1
- Forecast odds
- 0.1% D / 99.9% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —