Idaho 22026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Idaho 2nd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Idaho 2nd District House forecast currently gives Republican Mike Simpson a 99.9% chance of defeating Democrat Elinor Gilbreath. Pollsmax projects Simpson to receive 66.6% of the vote compared with 33.5% for Gilbreath, a projected Republican margin of 33.1 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Idaho 2nd District House election features Democrat Elinor Gilbreath and Republican Mike Simpson. Incumbent Representative Mike Simpson is seeking reelection to a fifteenth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Idaho's 2nd congressional district by 18.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.