Illinois 102026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Illinois 10th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Illinois 10th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Brad Schneider a 99.3% chance of defeating Republican Carl Lambrecht. Pollsmax projects Schneider to receive 62.5% of the vote compared with 37.6% for Lambrecht, a projected Democratic margin of 24.9 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Illinois 10th District House election features Democrat Brad Schneider and Republican Carl Lambrecht. Incumbent Representative Brad Schneider is seeking reelection to a seventh term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Illinois' 10th congressional district by 8.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.