Jennifer Todd, 2026 Illinois 15th District House Democratic candidate
Jennifer Todd
DEMOCRATIC
Nurse
Illinois state flag

Illinois15th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST

Mary Miller, 2026 Illinois 15th District House Republican candidate
Mary Miller*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-IL)
2021 – Present

2026 Illinois 15th District House Forecast:

Proprietary forecast for Illinois's 15th congressional district House election between Democrat Jennifer Todd and Republican Mary Miller. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.

The 2026 Illinois 15th District House election features Democrat Jennifer Todd and Republican Mary Miller. Incumbent Representative Mary Miller is seeking reelection to a fourth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Illinois' 15th congressional district by 22.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.

Year
2026
Race
House
District
IL-15
Democratic candidate
Jennifer Todd
Republican candidate
Mary Miller
Incumbent / open seat
Mary Miller
Forecast rating
Solid R
Projected vote
30.1% D / 70.0% R
Projected margin
R +39.9
Forecast odds
0.1% D / 99.9% R
Forecast last updated
12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
Polling average
Polling average margin
Polling last updated
Polls included
0
Latest poll