Mike Quigley*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-IL)
2009 – Present
Illinois5th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Tommy Hanson
REPUBLICAN
Real Estate Broker
2026 Illinois 5th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Illinois's 5th congressional district House election between Democrat Mike Quigley and Republican Tommy Hanson. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Illinois 5th District House election features Democrat Mike Quigley and Republican Tommy Hanson. Incumbent Representative Mike Quigley is seeking reelection to a tenth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Illinois' 5th congressional district by 18.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- IL-5
- Democratic candidate
- Mike Quigley
- Republican candidate
- Tommy Hanson
- Incumbent / open seat
- Mike Quigley
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 69.9% D / 30.1% R
- Projected margin
- D +39.8
- Forecast odds
- 99.9% D / 0.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —