Indiana 32026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Indiana 3rd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Indiana 3rd District House forecast currently gives Republican Marlin Stutzman a 99.9% chance of defeating Democrat Kelly Thompson. Pollsmax projects Stutzman to receive 67% of the vote compared with 33.1% for Thompson, a projected Republican margin of 33.9 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Indiana 3rd District House election features Democrat Kelly Thompson and Republican Marlin Stutzman. Incumbent Representative Marlin Stutzman is seeking reelection to a sixth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Indiana's 3rd congressional district by 19.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.