Indiana 52026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Indiana 5th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Indiana 5th District House forecast currently gives Republican Victoria Spartz a 95.7% chance of defeating Democrat JD Ford. Pollsmax projects Spartz to receive 58% of the vote compared with 42.1% for Ford, a projected Republican margin of 15.9 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Indiana 5th District House election features Democrat JD Ford and Republican Victoria Spartz. Incumbent Representative Victoria Spartz is seeking reelection to a fourth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Indiana's 5th congressional district by 10.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.