JD Ford
DEMOCRATIC
Indiana State Senate (D)
2018 – Present
Indiana5th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Victoria Spartz*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-IN)
2021 – Present
2026 Indiana 5th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Indiana's 5th congressional district House election between Democrat JD Ford and Republican Victoria Spartz. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Indiana 5th District House election features Democrat JD Ford and Republican Victoria Spartz. Incumbent Representative Victoria Spartz is seeking reelection to a fourth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Indiana's 5th congressional district by 10.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- IN-5
- Democratic candidate
- JD Ford
- Republican candidate
- Victoria Spartz
- Incumbent / open seat
- Victoria Spartz
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 41.4% D / 58.7% R
- Projected margin
- R +17.3
- Forecast odds
- 3.6% D / 96.4% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —