André Carson, 2026 Indiana 7th District House Democratic candidate
André Carson*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-IN)
2008 – Present
Indiana state flag

Indiana 72026 HOUSE POLLS

Patrick McAuley, 2026 Indiana 7th District House Republican candidate
Patrick McAuley
REPUBLICAN

2026 Indiana 7th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Indiana 7th District House forecast currently gives Democrat André Carson a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Patrick McAuley. Pollsmax projects Carson to receive 74.6% of the vote compared with 25.4% for McAuley, a projected Democratic margin of 49.2 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Indiana 7th District House election features Democrat André Carson and Republican Patrick McAuley. Incumbent Representative André Carson is seeking reelection to a tenth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Indiana's 7th congressional district by 9.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.

Year
2026
Race
House
District
IN-7
Democratic candidate
André Carson
Republican candidate
Patrick McAuley
Incumbent / open seat
André Carson
Forecast rating
Solid D
Projected vote
74.6% D / 25.4% R
Projected margin
D +49.2
Forecast odds
99.9% D / 0.1% R
Forecast last updated
12:00 AM on September 30, 2026
Polling average
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Polling average margin
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Polling last updated
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Polls included
0
Latest poll
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