André Carson*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-IN)
2008 – Present
Indiana7th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Patrick McAuley
REPUBLICAN
2026 Indiana 7th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Indiana's 7th congressional district House election between Democrat André Carson and Republican Patrick McAuley. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Indiana 7th District House election features Democrat André Carson and Republican Patrick McAuley. Incumbent Representative André Carson is seeking reelection to a tenth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Indiana's 7th congressional district by 9.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- IN-7
- Democratic candidate
- André Carson
- Republican candidate
- Patrick McAuley
- Incumbent / open seat
- André Carson
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 70.1% D / 30.0% R
- Projected margin
- D +40.1
- Forecast odds
- 99.9% D / 0.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —