Iowa 22026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Iowa 2nd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Iowa 2nd District House forecast currently gives Republican Joe Mitchell a 83.5% chance of defeating Democrat Lindsay James. Pollsmax projects Mitchell to receive 53.7% of the vote compared with 46.4% for James, a projected Republican margin of 7.3 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Likely Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Iowa 2nd District House election features Democrat Lindsay James and Republican Joe Mitchell. The seat is open in 2026, but the race to fill it is not expected to be competitive. In 2024, Donald Trump won Iowa's 2nd congressional district by 0.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Republican in 2026.