Iowa 22026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Iowa 2nd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Iowa 2nd District House forecast currently gives Democrat Lindsay James a 50.7% chance of defeating Republican Joe Mitchell. Pollsmax projects James to receive 50.1% of the vote compared with 50% for Mitchell, a projected Democratic margin of 0.1 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Tilt Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Iowa 2nd District House election features Democrat Lindsay James and Republican Joe Mitchell. The seat is open in 2026, giving both parties a chance to win the district's representation in the lower chamber of Congress. In 2024, Donald Trump won Iowa's 2nd congressional district by 0.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as tilt Democratic in 2026. The race will test whether Democrats can flip a competitive Iowa seat or whether Republicans can hold one of their key House battlegrounds. Iowa's 2nd District will be critical in determining control of the House for the second half of President Trump's term.