Lindsay James
DEMOCRATIC
Iowa State House (D)
2019 – Present
Iowa2nd District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Joe Mitchell
REPUBLICAN
Iowa State House (R)
2019 – 2023
2026 Iowa 2nd District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Iowa's 2nd congressional district House election between Democrat Lindsay James and Republican Joe Mitchell. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Iowa 2nd District House election features Democrat Lindsay James and Republican Joe Mitchell. The seat is open in 2026, but the race to fill it is not expected to be competitive. In 2024, Donald Trump won Iowa's 2nd congressional district by 0.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Republican in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- IA-2
- Democratic candidate
- Lindsay James
- Republican candidate
- Joe Mitchell
- Incumbent / open seat
- Open seat
- Forecast rating
- Likely R
- Projected vote
- 45.8% D / 54.3% R
- Projected margin
- R +8.5
- Forecast odds
- 15.3% D / 84.7% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —