Democrats
DEMOCRATIC
—
Kansas 12026 HOUSE FORECAST
Tracey Mann*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-KS)
2021 – Present
2026 Kansas 1st District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Kansas's 1st congressional district House election between Democrat TBD and Republican Tracey Mann. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Kansas 1st District House election features Democrat TBD and Republican Tracey Mann. Incumbent Representative Tracey Mann is seeking reelection to a fourth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Kansas' 1st congressional district by 25.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- KS-1
- Democratic candidate
- TBD
- Republican candidate
- Tracey Mann
- Incumbent / open seat
- Tracey Mann
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 30.0% D / 70.1% R
- Projected margin
- R +40.1
- Forecast odds
- 0.1% D / 99.9% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
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