Kansas 22026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Kansas 2nd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Kansas 2nd District House forecast currently gives Republican Derek Schmidt a 96.4% chance of defeating Democrat Don Coover. Pollsmax projects Schmidt to receive 58.7% of the vote compared with 41.3% for Coover, a projected Republican margin of 17.4 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Kansas 2nd District House election features Democrat Don Coover and Republican Derek Schmidt. Incumbent Representative Derek Schmidt is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Kansas' 2nd congressional district by 11.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.