Kansas 22026 HOUSE FORECAST

Derek Schmidt*

REPUBLICAN

US House of Representatives (R-KS)

2025 – Present

2026 Kansas 2nd District House Forecast:

Proprietary forecast for Kansas's 2nd congressional district House election between Democrat TBD and Republican Derek Schmidt. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.

The 2026 Kansas 2nd District House election features Democrat TBD and Republican Derek Schmidt. Incumbent Representative Derek Schmidt is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Kansas' 2nd congressional district by 11.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.

Year: 2026
Race: House
District: KS-2
Democratic candidate: TBD
Republican candidate: Derek Schmidt
Incumbent / open seat: Derek Schmidt
Forecast rating: Solid R
Projected vote: 41.3% D / 58.8% R
Projected margin: R +17.5
Forecast odds: 3.3% D / 96.7% R
Forecast last updated: 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
Polling average: —
Polling average margin: —
Polling last updated: —
Polls included: 0
Latest poll: —