Sharice Davids*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-KS)
2019 – Present
Kansas3rd District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Eric Jenkins
REPUBLICAN
Shawnee City Council
2026 Kansas 3rd District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Kansas's 3rd congressional district House election between Democrat Sharice Davids and Republican Eric Jenkins. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Kansas 3rd District House election features Democrat Sharice Davids and Republican Eric Jenkins. Incumbent Representative Sharice Davids is seeking reelection to a fifth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Kansas' 3rd congressional district by 5.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- KS-3
- Democratic candidate
- Sharice Davids
- Republican candidate
- Eric Jenkins
- Incumbent / open seat
- Sharice Davids
- Forecast rating
- Likely D
- Projected vote
- 57.4% D / 42.6% R
- Projected margin
- D +14.8
- Forecast odds
- 94.4% D / 5.6% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —