Kansas 32026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Kansas 3rd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Kansas 3rd District House forecast currently gives Democrat Sharice Davids a 92.9% chance of defeating Republican Eric Jenkins. Pollsmax projects Davids to receive 57.1% of the vote compared with 43% for Jenkins, a projected Democratic margin of 14.1 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Likely Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Kansas 3rd District House election features Democrat Sharice Davids and Republican Eric Jenkins. Incumbent Representative Sharice Davids is seeking reelection to a fifth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Kansas' 3rd congressional district by 5.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Democratic in 2026.