Drew Williams
DEMOCRATIC
Event Organizer
Kentucky1st District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
James Comer*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-KY)
2016 – Present
2026 Kentucky 1st District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Kentucky's 1st congressional district House election between Democrat Drew Williams and Republican James Comer. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Kentucky 1st District House election features Democrat Drew Williams and Republican James Comer. Incumbent Representative James Comer is seeking reelection to a sixth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Kentucky's 1st congressional district by 24.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- KY-1
- Democratic candidate
- Drew Williams
- Republican candidate
- James Comer
- Incumbent / open seat
- James Comer
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 30.0% D / 70.1% R
- Projected margin
- R +40.1
- Forecast odds
- 0.1% D / 99.9% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —