Kentucky 12026 HOUSE POLLS
2026 Kentucky 1st District House Forecast:
The Pollsmax 2026 Kentucky 1st District House forecast currently gives Republican James Comer a 99.9% chance of defeating Democrat Drew Williams. Pollsmax projects Comer to receive 75.3% of the vote compared with 24.7% for Williams, a projected Republican margin of 50.6 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.
The 2026 Kentucky 1st District House election features Democrat Drew Williams and Republican James Comer. Incumbent Representative James Comer is seeking reelection to a sixth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Kentucky's 1st congressional district by 24.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- KY-1
- Democratic candidate
- Drew Williams
- Republican candidate
- James Comer
- Incumbent / open seat
- James Comer
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 24.7% D / 75.3% R
- Projected margin
- R +50.6
- Forecast odds
- 0.1% D / 99.9% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on September 30, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
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