Kentucky 22026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Kentucky 2nd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Kentucky 2nd District House forecast currently gives Republican Brett Guthrie a 99.9% chance of defeating Democrat Megan Wingfield. Pollsmax projects Guthrie to receive 74.7% of the vote compared with 25.4% for Wingfield, a projected Republican margin of 49.3 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Kentucky 2nd District House election features Democrat Megan Wingfield and Republican Brett Guthrie. Incumbent Representative Brett Guthrie is seeking reelection to a tenth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Kentucky's 2nd congressional district by 20.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.