Megan Wingfield
DEMOCRATIC
Mechanic
Kentucky2nd District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Brett Guthrie*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-KY)
2009 – Present
2026 Kentucky 2nd District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Kentucky's 2nd congressional district House election between Democrat Megan Wingfield and Republican Brett Guthrie. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Kentucky 2nd District House election features Democrat Megan Wingfield and Republican Brett Guthrie. Incumbent Representative Brett Guthrie is seeking reelection to a tenth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Kentucky's 2nd congressional district by 20.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- KY-2
- Democratic candidate
- Megan Wingfield
- Republican candidate
- Brett Guthrie
- Incumbent / open seat
- Brett Guthrie
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 29.9% D / 70.1% R
- Projected margin
- R +40.2
- Forecast odds
- 0.1% D / 99.9% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —