Zach Dembo
DEMOCRATIC
Federal Prosecutor
Kentucky6th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Ralph Alvarado
REPUBLICAN
Tennessee Commissioner of Health
2023 – 2025
2026 Kentucky 6th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Kentucky's 6th congressional district House election between Democrat Zach Dembo and Republican Ralph Alvarado. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Kentucky 6th District House election features Democrat Zach Dembo and Republican Ralph Alvarado. The seat is open in 2026, but the race to fill it is not expected to be competitive. In 2024, Donald Trump won Kentucky's 6th congressional district by 10.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Republican in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- KY-6
- Democratic candidate
- Zach Dembo
- Republican candidate
- Ralph Alvarado
- Incumbent / open seat
- Open seat
- Forecast rating
- Likely R
- Projected vote
- 44.7% D / 55.3% R
- Projected margin
- R +10.6
- Forecast odds
- 10.9% D / 89.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —