Louisiana 22026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Louisiana 2nd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Louisiana 2nd District House forecast currently gives Democrat Troy Carter a 99.9% chance of defeating the Republican nominee. Pollsmax projects Carter to receive 78.9% of the vote compared with 21.1% for the Republican nominee, a projected Democratic margin of 57.8 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Louisiana 2nd District House election features Democrat Troy Carter and Republican TBD. Incumbent Representative Troy Carter is seeking reelection to a fourth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Louisiana's 2nd congressional district by 23.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. Louisiana conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.