Louisiana 22026 HOUSE FORECAST
2026 Louisiana 2nd District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Louisiana's 2nd congressional district House election between Democrat Troy Carter and Republican TBD. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Louisiana 2nd District House election features Democrat Troy Carter and Republican TBD. Incumbent Representative Troy Carter is seeking reelection to a fourth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Louisiana's 2nd congressional district by 23.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026. Louisiana conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- LA-2
- Democratic candidate
- Troy Carter
- Republican candidate
- TBD
- Incumbent / open seat
- Troy Carter
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 70.1% D / 29.9% R
- Projected margin
- D +40.2
- Forecast odds
- 99.9% D / 0.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —