Louisiana 52026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Louisiana 5th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Louisiana 5th District House forecast currently gives the Republican nominee a 99.7% chance of defeating the Democratic nominee. Pollsmax projects the Republican nominee to receive 64.7% of the vote compared with 35.3% for the Democratic nominee, a projected Republican margin of 29.4 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Louisiana 5th District House election features Democrat TBD and Republican TBD. The seat is open in 2026, but the race to fill it is not expected to be competitive. In 2024, Donald Trump won Louisiana's 5th congressional district by 16.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026. Louisiana conducted mid-decade redistricting prior to the midterms, and the state's new district map benefits Republicans overall.