Chellie Pingree*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-ME)
2009 – Present
Maine1st District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Ronald Russell
REPUBLICAN
Defense Contractor
2026 Maine 1st District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Maine's 1st congressional district House election between Democrat Chellie Pingree and Republican Ronald Russell. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Maine 1st District House election features Democrat Chellie Pingree and Republican Ronald Russell. Incumbent Representative Chellie Pingree is seeking reelection to a tenth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Maine's 1st congressional district by 6.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- ME-1
- Democratic candidate
- Chellie Pingree
- Republican candidate
- Ronald Russell
- Incumbent / open seat
- Chellie Pingree
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 61.9% D / 38.1% R
- Projected margin
- D +23.8
- Forecast odds
- 99.3% D / 0.7% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —