Maine 12026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Maine 1st District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Maine 1st District House forecast currently gives Democrat Chellie Pingree a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Ronald Russell. Pollsmax projects Pingree to receive 65% of the vote compared with 35% for Russell, a projected Democratic margin of 30 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Maine 1st District House election features Democrat Chellie Pingree and Republican Ronald Russell. Incumbent Representative Chellie Pingree is seeking reelection to a tenth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Maine's 1st congressional district by 6.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.