Maryland 22026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Maryland 2nd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Maryland 2nd District House forecast currently gives Democrat Johnny Olszewski a 99.3% chance of defeating Republican Dave Wallace. Pollsmax projects Olszewski to receive 62.3% of the vote compared with 37.8% for Wallace, a projected Democratic margin of 24.5 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Maryland 2nd District House election features Democrat Johnny Olszewski and Republican Dave Wallace. Incumbent Representative Johnny Olszewski is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Maryland's 2nd congressional district by 9.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.