Johnny Olszewski*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-MD)
2025 – Present
Maryland2nd District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Dave Wallace
REPUBLICAN
Business Owner
2026 Maryland 2nd District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Maryland's 2nd congressional district House election between Democrat Johnny Olszewski and Republican Dave Wallace. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Maryland 2nd District House election features Democrat Johnny Olszewski and Republican Dave Wallace. Incumbent Representative Johnny Olszewski is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Maryland's 2nd congressional district by 9.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- MD-2
- Democratic candidate
- Johnny Olszewski
- Republican candidate
- Dave Wallace
- Incumbent / open seat
- Johnny Olszewski
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 62.2% D / 37.9% R
- Projected margin
- D +24.3
- Forecast odds
- 99.3% D / 0.7% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —