Maryland 42026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Maryland 4th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Maryland 4th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Glenn Ivey a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican George McDermott. Pollsmax projects Ivey to receive 78% of the vote compared with 22.1% for McDermott, a projected Democratic margin of 55.9 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Maryland 4th District House election features Democrat Glenn Ivey and Republican George McDermott. Incumbent Representative Glenn Ivey is seeking reelection to a third term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Maryland's 4th congressional district by 26.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.