Glenn Ivey*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-MD)
2023 – Present
Maryland4th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
George McDermott
REPUBLICAN
2026 Maryland 4th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Maryland's 4th congressional district House election between Democrat Glenn Ivey and Republican George McDermott. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Maryland 4th District House election features Democrat Glenn Ivey and Republican George McDermott. Incumbent Representative Glenn Ivey is seeking reelection to a third term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Maryland's 4th congressional district by 26.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- MD-4
- Democratic candidate
- Glenn Ivey
- Republican candidate
- George McDermott
- Incumbent / open seat
- Glenn Ivey
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 70.0% D / 30.1% R
- Projected margin
- D +39.9
- Forecast odds
- 99.9% D / 0.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —