Maryland 82026 HOUSE POLLS
2026 Maryland 8th District House Forecast:
The Pollsmax 2026 Maryland 8th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Jamie Raskin a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Cheryl Riley. Pollsmax projects Raskin to receive 75.7% of the vote compared with 24.4% for Riley, a projected Democratic margin of 51.3 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.
The 2026 Maryland 8th District House election features Democrat Jamie Raskin and Republican Cheryl Riley. Incumbent Representative Jamie Raskin is seeking reelection to a sixth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Maryland's 8th congressional district by 12.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- MD-8
- Democratic candidate
- Jamie Raskin
- Republican candidate
- Cheryl Riley
- Incumbent / open seat
- Jamie Raskin
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 75.7% D / 24.4% R
- Projected margin
- D +51.3
- Forecast odds
- 99.9% D / 0.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on September 30, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —