Jamie Raskin, 2026 Maryland 8th District House Democratic candidate
Jamie Raskin*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-MD)
2017 – Present
Maryland state flag

Maryland8th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST

Cheryl Riley, 2026 Maryland 8th District House Republican candidate
Cheryl Riley
REPUBLICAN
Public Relations Consultant

2026 Maryland 8th District House Forecast:

Proprietary forecast for Maryland's 8th congressional district House election between Democrat Jamie Raskin and Republican Cheryl Riley. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.

The 2026 Maryland 8th District House election features Democrat Jamie Raskin and Republican Cheryl Riley. Incumbent Representative Jamie Raskin is seeking reelection to a sixth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Maryland's 8th congressional district by 12.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.

Year
2026
Race
House
District
MD-8
Democratic candidate
Jamie Raskin
Republican candidate
Cheryl Riley
Incumbent / open seat
Jamie Raskin
Forecast rating
Solid D
Projected vote
70.1% D / 29.9% R
Projected margin
D +40.2
Forecast odds
99.9% D / 0.1% R
Forecast last updated
12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
Polling average
Polling average margin
Polling last updated
Polls included
0
Latest poll