Richard Neal*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-MA)
1989 – Present
Massachusetts 12026 HOUSE FORECAST
Republicans
REPUBLICAN
2026 Massachusetts 1st District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Massachusetts's 1st congressional district House election between Democrat Richard Neal and Republican TBD. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Massachusetts 1st District House election features Democrat Richard Neal and Republican TBD. Incumbent Representative Richard Neal is seeking reelection to a twentieth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Massachusetts' 1st congressional district by 10.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- MA-1
- Democratic candidate
- Richard Neal
- Republican candidate
- TBD
- Incumbent / open seat
- Richard Neal
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 66.5% D / 33.6% R
- Projected margin
- D +32.9
- Forecast odds
- 99.9% D / 0.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —