Massachusetts 12026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Massachusetts 1st District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Massachusetts 1st District House forecast currently gives Democrat Richard Neal a 100% chance of defeating the Republican nominee. Pollsmax projects Neal to receive 100% of the vote compared with 0% for the Republican nominee, a projected Democratic margin of 100 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Massachusetts 1st District House election features Democrat Richard Neal, who is unopposed. Incumbent Representative Richard Neal is seeking reelection to a twentieth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Massachusetts' 1st congressional district by 10.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.