Massachusetts 92026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Massachusetts 9th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Massachusetts 9th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Bill Keating a 96.4% chance of defeating Republican Tyler Macallister. Pollsmax projects Keating to receive 58.7% of the vote compared with 41.3% for Macallister, a projected Democratic margin of 17.4 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Massachusetts 9th District House election features Democrat Bill Keating and Republican Tyler Macallister. Incumbent Representative Bill Keating is seeking reelection to a ninth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Massachusetts' 9th congressional district by 2.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.