Democrats
DEMOCRATIC
—
Michigan 12026 HOUSE FORECAST
Jack Bergman*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-MI)
2017 – Present
2026 Michigan 1st District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Michigan's 1st congressional district House election between Democrat TBD and Republican Jack Bergman. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Michigan 1st District House election features Democrat TBD and Republican Jack Bergman. Incumbent Representative Jack Bergman is seeking reelection to a sixth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Michigan's 1st congressional district by 10.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- MI-1
- Democratic candidate
- TBD
- Republican candidate
- Jack Bergman
- Incumbent / open seat
- Jack Bergman
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 41.2% D / 58.9% R
- Projected margin
- R +17.7
- Forecast odds
- 3.2% D / 96.8% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
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