Michigan 122026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Michigan 12th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Michigan 12th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Rashida Tlaib a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican James Hooper. Pollsmax projects Tlaib to receive 75.2% of the vote compared with 24.8% for Hooper, a projected Democratic margin of 50.4 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Michigan 12th District House election features Democrat Rashida Tlaib and Republican James Hooper. Incumbent Representative Rashida Tlaib is seeking reelection to a fifth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Michigan's 12th congressional district by 12.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.