Michigan 132026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Michigan 13th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Michigan 13th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Shri Thanedar a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican TP Nykoriak. Pollsmax projects Thanedar to receive 77.2% of the vote compared with 22.9% for Nykoriak, a projected Democratic margin of 54.3 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Michigan 13th District House election features Democrat Shri Thanedar and Republican TP Nykoriak. Incumbent Representative Shri Thanedar is seeking reelection to a third term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Michigan's 13th congressional district by 30.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.