Michigan 132026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Michigan 13th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Michigan 13th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Donavan McKinney a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican TP Nykoriak. Pollsmax projects McKinney to receive 76.9% of the vote compared with 23.2% for Nykoriak, a projected Democratic margin of 53.7 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Michigan 13th District House election features Democrat Donavan McKinney and Republican TP Nykoriak. The seat is open in 2026, but the race to fill it is not expected to be competitive. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Michigan's 13th congressional district by 30.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.