Michigan 22026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Michigan 2nd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Michigan 2nd District House forecast currently gives Republican John Moolenaar a 99.9% chance of defeating Democrat Benjamin Ambrose. Pollsmax projects Moolenaar to receive 65.7% of the vote compared with 34.4% for Ambrose, a projected Republican margin of 31.3 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Michigan 2nd District House election features Democrat Benjamin Ambrose and Republican John Moolenaar. Incumbent Representative John Moolenaar is seeking reelection to a seventh term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Michigan's 2nd congressional district by 10.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.