Democrats
DEMOCRATIC
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Michigan 22026 HOUSE FORECAST
John Moolenaar*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-MI)
2015 – Present
2026 Michigan 2nd District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Michigan's 2nd congressional district House election between Democrat TBD and Republican John Moolenaar. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Michigan 2nd District House election features Democrat TBD and Republican John Moolenaar. Incumbent Representative John Moolenaar is seeking reelection to a seventh term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Michigan's 2nd congressional district by 10.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- MI-2
- Democratic candidate
- TBD
- Republican candidate
- John Moolenaar
- Incumbent / open seat
- John Moolenaar
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 34.3% D / 65.7% R
- Projected margin
- R +31.4
- Forecast odds
- 0.1% D / 99.9% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
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- Polling last updated
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- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
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