Michigan 32026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Michigan 3rd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Michigan 3rd District House forecast currently gives Democrat Hillary Scholten a 94.3% chance of defeating Republican Terri DeBoer. Pollsmax projects Scholten to receive 57.5% of the vote compared with 42.6% for DeBoer, a projected Democratic margin of 14.9 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Likely Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Michigan 3rd District House election features Democrat Hillary Scholten and Republican Terri DeBoer. Incumbent Representative Hillary Scholten is seeking reelection to a third term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Michigan's 3rd congressional district by 7.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Democratic in 2026.