Hillary Scholten*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-MI)
2023 – Present
Michigan 32026 HOUSE FORECAST
Republicans
REPUBLICAN
2026 Michigan 3rd District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Michigan's 3rd congressional district House election between Democrat Hillary Scholten and Republican TBD. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Michigan 3rd District House election features Democrat Hillary Scholten and Republican TBD. Incumbent Representative Hillary Scholten is seeking reelection to a third term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Michigan's 3rd congressional district by 7.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- MI-3
- Democratic candidate
- Hillary Scholten
- Republican candidate
- TBD
- Incumbent / open seat
- Hillary Scholten
- Forecast rating
- Likely D
- Projected vote
- 57.3% D / 42.8% R
- Projected margin
- D +14.5
- Forecast odds
- 93.9% D / 6.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —