Michigan 42026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Michigan 4th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Michigan 4th District House forecast currently gives Republican Bill Huizenga a 74.3% chance of defeating Democrat Sean McCann. Pollsmax projects Huizenga to receive 51.6% of the vote compared with 48.4% for McCann, a projected Republican margin of 3.2 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Lean Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Michigan 4th District House election features Democrat Sean McCann and Republican Bill Huizenga. Incumbent Representative Bill Huizenga is seeking reelection to a ninth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Michigan's 4th congressional district by 11.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as lean Republican in 2026. The race will test whether Democrats can flip a competitive Michigan seat or whether Republicans can hold one of their key House battlegrounds. Michigan's 4th District will be important in determining control of the House for the second half of President Trump's term.