Christian Vukasovich
DEMOCRATIC
College Professor
Michigan5th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Tim Walberg*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-MI)
2007 – 2009, 2011 – Present
2026 Michigan 5th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Michigan's 5th congressional district House election between Democrat Christian Vukasovich and Republican Tim Walberg. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Michigan 5th District House election features Democrat Christian Vukasovich and Republican Tim Walberg. Incumbent Representative Tim Walberg is seeking reelection to a tenth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Michigan's 5th congressional district by 3.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- MI-5
- Democratic candidate
- Christian Vukasovich
- Republican candidate
- Tim Walberg
- Incumbent / open seat
- Tim Walberg
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 35.0% D / 65.0% R
- Projected margin
- R +30.0
- Forecast odds
- 0.1% D / 99.9% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —