Michigan 52026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Michigan 5th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Michigan 5th District House forecast currently gives Republican Tim Walberg a 99.8% chance of defeating Democrat Christian Vukasovich. Pollsmax projects Walberg to receive 65% of the vote compared with 35.1% for Vukasovich, a projected Republican margin of 29.9 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Michigan 5th District House election features Democrat Christian Vukasovich and Republican Tim Walberg. Incumbent Representative Tim Walberg is seeking reelection to a tenth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Michigan's 5th congressional district by 3.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.