Michigan 62026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Michigan 6th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Michigan 6th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Debbie Dingell a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Heather Smiley. Pollsmax projects Dingell to receive 65.1% of the vote compared with 35% for Smiley, a projected Democratic margin of 30.1 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Michigan 6th District House election features Democrat Debbie Dingell and Republican Heather Smiley. Incumbent Representative Debbie Dingell is seeking reelection to a seventh term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Michigan's 6th congressional district by 5.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.