Debbie Dingell*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-MI)
2015 – Present
Michigan6th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Heather Smiley
REPUBLICAN
Office Analyst
2026 Michigan 6th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Michigan's 6th congressional district House election between Democrat Debbie Dingell and Republican Heather Smiley. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Michigan 6th District House election features Democrat Debbie Dingell and Republican Heather Smiley. Incumbent Representative Debbie Dingell is seeking reelection to a seventh term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Michigan's 6th congressional district by 5.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- MI-6
- Democratic candidate
- Debbie Dingell
- Republican candidate
- Heather Smiley
- Incumbent / open seat
- Debbie Dingell
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 65.0% D / 35.0% R
- Projected margin
- D +30.0
- Forecast odds
- 99.9% D / 0.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —