Michigan 82026 HOUSE FORECAST

2026 Michigan 8th District House Forecast:

Proprietary forecast for Michigan's 8th congressional district House election between Democrat Kristen McDonald Rivet and Republican TBD. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.

The 2026 Michigan 8th District House election features Democrat Kristen McDonald Rivet and Republican TBD. Incumbent Representative Kristen McDonald Rivet is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Michigan's 8th congressional district by 5.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as lean Democratic in 2026. The race will test whether Democrats can flip a competitive Michigan seat or whether Republicans can hold one of their key House battlegrounds. Michigan's 8th District will be important in determining control of the House for the second half of President Trump's term.