Michigan 92026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Michigan 9th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Michigan 9th District House forecast currently gives Republican Lisa McClain a 99.9% chance of defeating Democrat Ray Pooley. Pollsmax projects McClain to receive 70% of the vote compared with 30% for Pooley, a projected Republican margin of 40 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Michigan 9th District House election features Democrat Ray Pooley and Republican Lisa McClain. Incumbent Representative Lisa McClain is seeking reelection to a fourth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Michigan's 9th congressional district by 2.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.