Ray Pooley
DEMOCRATIC
CNC Machinist and Programmer
Michigan9th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Lisa McClain*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-MI)
2021 – Present
2026 Michigan 9th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Michigan's 9th congressional district House election between Democrat Ray Pooley and Republican Lisa McClain. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Michigan 9th District House election features Democrat Ray Pooley and Republican Lisa McClain. Incumbent Representative Lisa McClain is seeking reelection to a fourth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Michigan's 9th congressional district by 2.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- MI-9
- Democratic candidate
- Ray Pooley
- Republican candidate
- Lisa McClain
- Incumbent / open seat
- Lisa McClain
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 30.0% D / 70.1% R
- Projected margin
- R +40.1
- Forecast odds
- 0.1% D / 99.9% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —