

Minnesota 22026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Minnesota 2nd District House Forecast:
The Pollsmax 2026 Minnesota 2nd District House forecast currently gives Democrat Matt Little a 88% chance of defeating Republican Eric Pratt. Pollsmax projects Little to receive 55% of the vote compared with 45.1% for Pratt, a projected Democratic margin of 9.9 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Likely Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.
The 2026 Minnesota 2nd District House election features Democrat Matt Little and Republican Eric Pratt. The seat is open in 2026, but the race to fill it is not expected to be competitive. In 2024, Donald Trump won Minnesota's 2nd congressional district by 3.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- MN-2
- Democratic candidate
- Matt Little
- Republican candidate
- Eric Pratt
- Incumbent / open seat
- Open seat
- Forecast rating
- Likely D
- Projected vote
- 55.0% D / 45.1% R
- Projected margin
- D +9.9
- Forecast odds
- 88.0% D / 12.0% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on September 30, 2026
- Polling average
- 49.0% D / 40.7% R
- Polling average margin
- D +8.3
- Polling last updated
- 12:00 AM on September 13, 2026
- Polls included
- 2
- Latest poll
- Impact Research (D) — September 13, 2026