
Kelly Morrison*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-MN)
2025 – Present

Minnesota 32026 HOUSE FORECAST

Republicans
REPUBLICAN
2026 Minnesota 3rd District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Minnesota's 3rd congressional district House election between Democrat Kelly Morrison and Republican TBD. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Minnesota 3rd District House election features Democrat Kelly Morrison and Republican TBD. Incumbent Representative Kelly Morrison is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Minnesota's 3rd congressional district by 0.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- MN-3
- Democratic candidate
- Kelly Morrison
- Republican candidate
- TBD
- Incumbent / open seat
- Kelly Morrison
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 65.2% D / 34.8% R
- Projected margin
- D +30.4
- Forecast odds
- 99.9% D / 0.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —