Minnesota 32026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Minnesota 3rd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Minnesota 3rd District House forecast currently gives Democrat Kelly Morrison a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Tyler Bass. Pollsmax projects Morrison to receive 65.2% of the vote compared with 34.9% for Bass, a projected Democratic margin of 30.3 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Minnesota 3rd District House election features Democrat Kelly Morrison and Republican Tyler Bass. Incumbent Representative Kelly Morrison is seeking reelection to a second term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Minnesota's 3rd congressional district by 0.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.