Minnesota 42026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Minnesota 4th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Minnesota 4th District House forecast currently gives Democrat Betty McCollum a 99.9% chance of defeating Republican Paul Wikstrom. Pollsmax projects McCollum to receive 72.8% of the vote compared with 27.3% for Wikstrom, a projected Democratic margin of 45.5 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Minnesota 4th District House election features Democrat Betty McCollum and Republican Paul Wikstrom. Incumbent Representative Betty McCollum is seeking reelection to a fourteenth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Minnesota's 4th congressional district by 12.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.