
Betty McCollum*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-MN)
2001 – Present

Minnesota 42026 HOUSE FORECAST

Republicans
REPUBLICAN
2026 Minnesota 4th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Minnesota's 4th congressional district House election between Democrat Betty McCollum and Republican TBD. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Minnesota 4th District House election features Democrat Betty McCollum and Republican TBD. Incumbent Representative Betty McCollum is seeking reelection to a fourteenth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Minnesota's 4th congressional district by 12.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- MN-4
- Democratic candidate
- Betty McCollum
- Republican candidate
- TBD
- Incumbent / open seat
- Betty McCollum
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 67.6% D / 32.4% R
- Projected margin
- D +35.2
- Forecast odds
- 99.9% D / 0.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —