Ilhan Omar*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-MN)
2019 – Present
Minnesota 52026 HOUSE FORECAST
Republicans
REPUBLICAN
2026 Minnesota 5th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Minnesota's 5th congressional district House election between Democrat Ilhan Omar and Republican TBD. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Minnesota 5th District House election features Democrat Ilhan Omar and Republican TBD. Incumbent Representative Ilhan Omar is seeking reelection to a fifth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Minnesota's 5th congressional district by 24.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- MN-5
- Democratic candidate
- Ilhan Omar
- Republican candidate
- TBD
- Incumbent / open seat
- Ilhan Omar
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 70.0% D / 30.0% R
- Projected margin
- D +40.0
- Forecast odds
- 99.9% D / 0.1% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —