Democrats
DEMOCRATIC
—
Minnesota 62026 HOUSE FORECAST
Tom Emmer*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-MN)
2015 – Present
2026 Minnesota 6th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Minnesota's 6th congressional district House election between Democrat TBD and Republican Tom Emmer. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Minnesota 6th District House election features Democrat TBD and Republican Tom Emmer. Incumbent Representative Tom Emmer is seeking reelection to a seventh term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Minnesota's 6th congressional district by 13.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- MN-6
- Democratic candidate
- TBD
- Republican candidate
- Tom Emmer
- Incumbent / open seat
- Tom Emmer
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 34.2% D / 65.8% R
- Projected margin
- R +31.6
- Forecast odds
- 0.1% D / 99.9% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —