Erik Osberg, 2026 House candidate
Erik Osberg
DEMOCRATIC
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Minnesota state flag

Minnesota 72026 HOUSE POLLS

Michelle Fischbach, 2026 Minnesota 7th District House Republican candidate
Michelle Fischbach*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-MN)
2021 – Present

2026 Minnesota 7th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Minnesota 7th District House forecast currently gives Republican Michelle Fischbach a 99.9% chance of defeating Democrat Erik Osberg. Pollsmax projects Fischbach to receive 73.8% of the vote compared with 26.2% for Osberg, a projected Republican margin of 47.6 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Minnesota 7th District House election features Democrat Erik Osberg and Republican Michelle Fischbach. Incumbent Representative Michelle Fischbach is seeking reelection to a fourth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Minnesota's 7th congressional district by 13.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.

Year
2026
Race
House
District
MN-7
Democratic candidate
Erik Osberg
Republican candidate
Michelle Fischbach
Incumbent / open seat
Michelle Fischbach
Forecast rating
Solid R
Projected vote
26.2% D / 73.8% R
Projected margin
R +47.6
Forecast odds
0.1% D / 99.9% R
Forecast last updated
12:00 AM on September 30, 2026
Polling average
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Polling average margin
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Polling last updated
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Polls included
0
Latest poll
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