Democrats
DEMOCRATIC
—
Minnesota 82026 HOUSE FORECAST
Pete Stauber*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-MN)
2019 – Present
2026 Minnesota 8th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Minnesota's 8th congressional district House election between Democrat TBD and Republican Pete Stauber. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Minnesota 8th District House election features Democrat TBD and Republican Pete Stauber. Incumbent Representative Pete Stauber is seeking reelection to a fifth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Minnesota's 8th congressional district by 5.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as likely Republican in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- MN-8
- Democratic candidate
- TBD
- Republican candidate
- Pete Stauber
- Incumbent / open seat
- Pete Stauber
- Forecast rating
- Likely R
- Projected vote
- 44.9% D / 55.1% R
- Projected margin
- R +10.2
- Forecast odds
- 12.3% D / 87.7% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
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