Bennie Thompson, 2026 Mississippi 2nd District House Democratic candidate
Bennie Thompson*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-MS)
1993 – Present
Mississippi state flag

Mississippi2nd District2026 HOUSE FORECAST

Ron Eller, 2026 Mississippi 2nd District House Republican candidate
Ron Eller
REPUBLICAN
Physician Assistant

2026 Mississippi 2nd District House Forecast:

Proprietary forecast for Mississippi's 2nd congressional district House election between Democrat Bennie Thompson and Republican Ron Eller. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.

The 2026 Mississippi 2nd District House election features Democrat Bennie Thompson and Republican Ron Eller. Incumbent Representative Bennie Thompson is seeking reelection to a eighteenth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Mississippi's 2nd congressional district by 12.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.

Year
2026
Race
House
District
MS-2
Democratic candidate
Bennie Thompson
Republican candidate
Ron Eller
Incumbent / open seat
Bennie Thompson
Forecast rating
Solid D
Projected vote
63.2% D / 36.9% R
Projected margin
D +26.3
Forecast odds
99.5% D / 0.5% R
Forecast last updated
12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
Polling average
Polling average margin
Polling last updated
Polls included
0
Latest poll