

Mississippi 22026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Mississippi 2nd District House Forecast:
The Pollsmax 2026 Mississippi 2nd District House forecast currently gives Democrat Bennie Thompson a 99.5% chance of defeating Republican Ron Eller. Pollsmax projects Thompson to receive 63.2% of the vote compared with 36.9% for Eller, a projected Democratic margin of 26.3 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Democratic. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.
The 2026 Mississippi 2nd District House election features Democrat Bennie Thompson and Republican Ron Eller. Incumbent Representative Bennie Thompson is seeking reelection to a eighteenth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Mississippi's 2nd congressional district by 12.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- MS-2
- Democratic candidate
- Bennie Thompson
- Republican candidate
- Ron Eller
- Incumbent / open seat
- Bennie Thompson
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 63.2% D / 36.9% R
- Projected margin
- D +26.3
- Forecast odds
- 99.5% D / 0.5% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on September 30, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
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