
Bennie Thompson*
DEMOCRATIC
US House of Representatives (D-MS)
1993 – Present

Mississippi2nd District2026 HOUSE FORECAST

Ron Eller
REPUBLICAN
Physician Assistant
2026 Mississippi 2nd District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Mississippi's 2nd congressional district House election between Democrat Bennie Thompson and Republican Ron Eller. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Mississippi 2nd District House election features Democrat Bennie Thompson and Republican Ron Eller. Incumbent Representative Bennie Thompson is seeking reelection to a eighteenth term. In 2024, Kamala Harris won Mississippi's 2nd congressional district by 12.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Democratic in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- MS-2
- Democratic candidate
- Bennie Thompson
- Republican candidate
- Ron Eller
- Incumbent / open seat
- Bennie Thompson
- Forecast rating
- Solid D
- Projected vote
- 63.2% D / 36.9% R
- Projected margin
- D +26.3
- Forecast odds
- 99.5% D / 0.5% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —