Mississippi 42026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Mississippi 4th District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Mississippi 4th District House forecast currently gives Republican Mike Ezell a 99.9% chance of defeating Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III. Pollsmax projects Ezell to receive 75% of the vote compared with 25.1% for Hulum, a projected Republican margin of 49.9 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Mississippi 4th District House election features Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III and Republican Mike Ezell. Incumbent Representative Mike Ezell is seeking reelection to a third term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Mississippi's 4th congressional district by 22.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.