Jeffrey Hulum III
DEMOCRATIC
Mississippi State House (D)
2022 – Present
Mississippi4th District2026 HOUSE FORECAST
Mike Ezell*
REPUBLICAN
US House of Representatives (R-MS)
2023 – Present
2026 Mississippi 4th District House Forecast:
Proprietary forecast for Mississippi's 4th congressional district House election between Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III and Republican Mike Ezell. This page will update with a daily set of 100,000 new simulations as race fundamentals change in order to produce race odds, projected margin, and forecasted vote share. This page also includes polling averages when available.
The 2026 Mississippi 4th District House election features Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III and Republican Mike Ezell. Incumbent Representative Mike Ezell is seeking reelection to a third term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Mississippi's 4th congressional district by 22.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.
- Year
- 2026
- Race
- House
- District
- MS-4
- Democratic candidate
- Jeffrey Hulum III
- Republican candidate
- Mike Ezell
- Incumbent / open seat
- Mike Ezell
- Forecast rating
- Solid R
- Projected vote
- 30.1% D / 70.0% R
- Projected margin
- R +39.9
- Forecast odds
- 0.1% D / 99.9% R
- Forecast last updated
- 12:00 AM on July 2, 2026
- Polling average
- —
- Polling average margin
- —
- Polling last updated
- —
- Polls included
- 0
- Latest poll
- —