Missouri 22026 HOUSE POLLS

2026 Missouri 2nd District House Forecast:

The Pollsmax 2026 Missouri 2nd District House forecast currently gives Republican Ann Wagner a 95.3% chance of defeating Democrat Fred Wellman. Pollsmax projects Wagner to receive 57.6% of the vote compared with 42.4% for Wellman, a projected Republican margin of 15.2 percentage points. The model currently rates the race as Solid Republican. The forecast is updated using 100,000 simulations incorporating polling and race fundamentals. See the Pollsmax forecast methodology.

The 2026 Missouri 2nd District House election features Democrat Fred Wellman and Republican Ann Wagner. Incumbent Representative Ann Wagner is seeking reelection to a eighth term. In 2024, Donald Trump won Missouri's 2nd congressional district by 9.5%, and the election for the district's House seat is rated as solid Republican in 2026.